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AI-Driven Public Health Surveillance: Analyzing Vulnerable Areas in Brazil Using Remote Sensing and Socioeconomic Data

Joao P. Silva, Erikson J. de Aguiar, Gabriel Spadon, Agma J. M. Traina, Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr

Abstract

Urban vulnerability assessment is essential for identifying deprived areas and associated public health risks, especially under the accelerating effects of climate change and pollution. This paper introduces a novel AI-driven methodology that integrates remote sensing imagery, socioeconomic data, and machine learning models to analyze urban vulnerability in Brazil. Using data sources including Sentinel-2, Sentinel-5P, IBGE indicators, and OpenStreetMap, we develop a vulnerability index that captures environmental and infrastructural conditions. The model is further applied to predict pollution indices such as SO₂, NO₂, O₃, and CO using regression methods including Random Forest, XGBoost, and Linear Regression. Our results reveal that favelas exhibit significantly higher vulnerability scores, though non-slum areas show considerable heterogeneity. The proposed framework demonstrates high performance in pollution prediction and offers a valuable decision-support tool for public health and urban planning. We also release an open-access dataset to support further research in this area.